In this paper, we make a detailed spectral analysis of the comovement of cycles of Turkish economy with cycles of euro area and the US. Relation between cycles may change with frequency, hence correlation of cycles at short, medium and long run may differ. Also, the correlation in different...

We pursue a two-fold objective in this paper. First, we try to describe comprehensively the behaviour of sectoral growth cycles in Turkish manufacturing by using several statistical measures and to analyse the co-movement between them via correlation and peak-through analysis. One of the...

The business cycle should have reached its lower turning point in the first quarter, and a recovery is expected to gather momentum from now. Because of the negative carry-over from last year, GDP growth on annual average 2002 may not exceed 1.2 percent, accelerating to 2.8 percent in 2003. While...