Despite some recent signs of stabilization, the 2012-2014 ABI Financial Outlook Report highlights that the global economic situation remains fragile. Domestically, Gdp will further decline in 2013 and it is expected to return to a very slow growth only in 2014. Bank’s profitability continues...

Establishing a European Banking Union offers clear opportunities: to break bank-fiscal interactions, national supervisory silos and home biases, to reduce fragmentation and improve single market, to stabilize the euro. Nonetheless it involves also risks related to the crisis management...

Supervisory fragmentation is a cause of systemic risk, as cooperation amongst national authorities is bound to fail in crisis events. The situation will be different under the Banking Union when the Single Supervisory Mechanism is in place even if it shows some weaknesses: the Ssm includes...

Monetary policy actions taken over the past three years were key in preventing a financial meltdown. Empirical evidence suggests that central bank bond purchase programmes were effective in lowering bond yields and supporting economic activity. Nevertheless policymakers also need to bear in mind...

The presence of possible distortions caused by a prolonged period of low interest rates indicates that policymakers should raise interest rates as soon as macroeconomic conditions allow. Low interest rates are good for macroeconomic stability in the short run, but could harm long-run financial...

European Parliament, Council and Commission reached an agreement to undertake a review of the Eu budget, in order to redefine the general guidelines and priorities and enable the European Union to implement effective actions in long term decision

The development of a long lasting relationship between banks and firms requires greater cooperation between the two parties, which must be based on transparency, availability of the right quantitative and qualitative information, the correct and complete use of these information by banks, in...

To estimate the probability of default of companies and the correlated rating classes, it is necessary to use efficiently the information contained in different databases. In this respect, we propose a novel approach, based on the recursive usage of Bayes theorem, that can be very helpful in...

The crisis has strongly influenced the funding policies in Italian banks, pushing them to raise their stock of time deposits, an attractive product for retail customers in terms of low issuer risk and no market risk

The proposal for a Directive and the related impact study presented by Ec in 2012 have the purpose to reorganize the financial systems crisis regulation, with particular emphasis on bank recovery and resolution. The new harmonized rules identify three groups of measures relating to prevention,...