The papers in this volume were presented and discussed at the Autumn Central Bank Economists' Meeting held at the BIS on 15-16 October 2001. The meeting focused on recent changes in market functioning and their impact on central bank policy. A number of structural developments seem to have had a...

The Lucas Critique provides a cautionary background for the implementation of new policies. Rational agents tend to anticipate the consequences of new policies and may adopt their behavior in ways that affect the effectiveness of policies. New financial regulation, which is moving from a...

This short paper provides an introduction to the historical and theoretical aspects of macroprudential regulation in order to shed insight on effective macroprudentional policies. The section on macroprudential policies attempts to use this insight in the discussion of the state of play in...

Koga et al (2019) is an interesting, well written and timely paper based on data from quarterly Tankan surveys covering around 10,000 firms in Japan between 2004 and 2017. Although the paper contains a number of secondary findings, there are five key findings. First, firms’ pricing decisions...

This paper proposes an international collaboration between researchers in academia and policymaking institutions to stimulate and coordinate research on probability forecasting in macroeconomics, developing a toolbox for short-term prediction. The toolbox should include time series models,...

The global financial and debt crisis highlights the need for a better understanding of how fiscal and monetary policies interact. This article examines three aspects of these interactions, as seen from the perspective of the Czech National Bank. It first looks at the effects of fiscal policy on...