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Prevailing explanations of the decline in real interest rates since the early 1980s are premised on the notion that real interest rates are driven by variations in desired saving and investment. But based on data stretching back to 1870 for 19 countries, our systematic analysis casts doubt on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941033
Several countries are concurrently experiencing historically low inflation rates and ageing populations. Is there a …-frequency inflation. In particular, a larger share of dependents (ie young and old) is correlated with higher inflation, while a larger … share of working age cohorts is correlated with lower inflation. The results are robust to different country samples, time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028481
, and an inflation process that has become quite insensitive to domestic slack, on the other. This two-pronged attack has …-tuning inflation and responds more systematically to the financial cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926156
Do the prevailing unusually and persistently low real interest rates reflect a decline in the natural rate of interest as commonly thought? We argue that this is only part of the story. The critical role of financial factors in influencing medium-term economic fluctuations must also be taken...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986636
This paper examines two explanations for the recent spate of complaints about cross-border monetary policy spillovers and calls for international monetary policy coordination, a development that contrasts sharply with the monetary system in the 1980s, 1990s and until recently. The first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060227
. Potential output is seen as sustainable; yet experience indicates that output may be on an unsustainable path even if inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064187
inflation. We exploit cross-country variation in a long panel to identify age structure effects in inflation, controlling for … increases. This relationship accounts for the bulk of trend inflation, for instance, about 7 percentage points of US … disinflation since the 1980s. It predicts rising inflation over the coming decades …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919693