Showing 1 - 10 of 294
. Potential output is seen as sustainable; yet experience indicates that output may be on an unsustainable path even if inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064187
We build a small structural open economy model, augmented to depict the credit market and interest rate spreads (distinguishing by credit to firms and families); monetary policy with sterilized intervention in the foreign exchange market; and macroprudential policy as capital requirements. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018429
shocks on wages and inflation but heighten the impact of technology shocks. Informality also increases the sacrifice ratio of … inflation volatility for some type of shocks but makes monetary policy less effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889120
Prevailing explanations of the decline in real interest rates since the early 1980s are premised on the notion that real interest rates are driven by variations in desired saving and investment. But based on data stretching back to 1870 for 19 countries, our systematic analysis casts doubt on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941033
facts: (i) the long-run link between money growth and inflation and (ii) the link between credit growth and financial crises …. The analysis reveals that the former has weakened over time, while the latter has become stronger. Moreover, the money-inflation … two monetary facts. The money-inflation link is weaker in regimes characterised by low inflation and highly liberalised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989876
-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. This paper aims to document how much the release of the forecasts of one major … central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), has influenced private sector expectations of inflation, and whether the degree of … influence depends to any degree on the adoption of an inflation target (IT). Consistent with earlier studies, we find the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982425
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218878
Several countries are concurrently experiencing historically low inflation rates and ageing populations. Is there a …-frequency inflation. In particular, a larger share of dependents (ie young and old) is correlated with higher inflation, while a larger … share of working age cohorts is correlated with lower inflation. The results are robust to different country samples, time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028481
This paper questions the appropriateness of popular analytical frameworks that focus on current accounts or net capital flows as a basis for assessing the pattern of cross-border capital flows, the degree of financial integration and the vulnerability of countries to financial crises. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013393
A popular strategy for estimating output gaps is to anchor them to structural economic relationships. The resulting output gaps, however, are often highly sensitive to numerous auxiliary assumptions inherent in the approach. This complicates their use in policymaking. We illustrate the point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058575