Showing 1 - 10 of 159
This paper examines past evidence of prolonged periods of foreign exchange reserves accumulation in the Asia-Pacific region. One empirical challenge is to identify periods of reserve accumulation that are sufficiently large and persistent to be categorised as prolonged. Several proxies for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023473
Household debt levels relative to GDP have risen rapidly in many countries over the past decade. We investigate the macroeconomic impact of such increases by employing a novel estimation technique proposed by Chudik et al (2016), which tackles the problem of endogeneity present in traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964573
When taking on new debt, borrowers commit to a pre-specified path of future debt service. This implies a predictable lag between credit booms and peaks in debt service which, in a panel of household debt in 17 countries, is four years on average. The lag is driven by two key features of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953867
It is widely acknowledged that the recent generation of DSGE models failed to incorporate many of the liquidity and financial accelerator mechanisms revealed in the global financial crisis that began in 2007. This paper complements the papers presented at the 2009 BIS annual conference focused...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094782
We develop a general equilibrium model with intermediaries at the heart of international financial markets. In our model, intermediaries bargain with their customers and extract rents for providing access to foreign claims. The behavior of intermediaries, by tilting state prices, generates an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908612
.In addition to estimating risk-neutral default intensities, we provide estimates of physical default intensities using data on … Moody's KMV EDFs as a forward-looking proxy for default risk. We find that the real and financial activity indicators, along … EDFs across time. Furthermore, measures of the price of default event risk implied by estimates of physical and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712009
Advances in risk measurement technology have reshaped financial markets and the functioning of the financial system. More recently, they have been reshaping the prudential framework. Looking forward, they have the potential to reshape financial reporting too. Recent initiatives to improve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012711584
In practice, central banks have been confronted with a trade-off between stabilising inflation and output when dealing with rising oil prices. This contrasts with the result in the standard New Keynesian model that ensuring complete price stability is the optimal thing to do, even when an oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870912
In practice, central banks have been confronted with a trade-off between stabilising inflation and output when dealing with rising oil prices. This contrasts with the result in the standard New Keynesian model that ensuring complete price stability is the optimal thing to do, even when an oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069923
In an interconnected world, national economic policies regularly lead to large international spillover effects, which frequently trigger calls for international policy cooperation. However, the premise of successful cooperation is that there is a Pareto inefficiency, i.e. if there is scope to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960502