We provide a new perspective on disagreement in inflation expectations by examining the full probability distributions … of UK consumer inflation forecasts based on an adaptive bootstrap multimodality test. Furthermore, we compare the … inflation forecasts of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) with those of UK consumers, for which we use data …

We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New Keynesian Phillips curve framework …Q1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and domestic output gaps are significant drivers of inflation both in … output gaps on inflation …

Well anchored inflation expectations are considered to be a reflection of credible monetary policy. In the past …, anchoring has been assessed using either long-run inflation surveys or break-even inflation rates on financial assets with long … maturities. But neither of these is ideal. Here we propose an alternative measure of inflation anchoring that makes full use of …

reaction function. The parameter estimates differ in two regards: the NEER responds to inflation in Singapore but not in Hong … variability of inflation has been lower in Singapore, but the volatility of real economic activity has been similar in the two …

-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. This paper aims to document how much the release of the forecasts of one major … central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), has influenced private sector expectations of inflation, and whether the degree of … influence depends to any degree on the adoption of an inflation target (IT). Consistent with earlier studies, we find the …

The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …

though their ultimate impact on output and inflation is harder to pin down; the balance of the benefits and costs is likely …