finding is that only a forward-looking rule based on CPI inflation can account for frequently observed strong UIP violations …

-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. This paper aims to document how much the release of the forecasts of one major … central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), has influenced private sector expectations of inflation, and whether the degree of … influence depends to any degree on the adoption of an inflation target (IT). Consistent with earlier studies, we find the …

The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …

The relationship central to most inflation models, between slack and inflation, seems to have weakened. Do we need a …-cycle decomposition - to show that inflation models should more explicitly and comprehensively control for changes in the global economy … rates, and producer price competition can all significantly affect inflation, even after controlling for the standard …

There has been mounting evidence that the inflation process has been changing. Inflation is now much lower and much … more effective. There is no doubt in our mind that this explanation goes a long way towards explaining the better inflation …. We argue that prevailing models of inflation are too country-centric, in the sense that they fail to take sufficient …

This paper studies the relationship between inflation, output, money and interest rates in the euro area, using data … power for future inflation. The real money gap contains more information about future inflation than the output gap and the … Eurosystem's money-growth indicator is an inferior indicator of future inflation …