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of 1.20 CHF per euro. We also compare the forecasting performance of a random walk benchmark model with an error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952131
Explaining exchange rates has long been an important but vexing issue in international economics and finance. In recent years, a number of studies have shown that investors' private information plays a central role in determining exchange rates. We demonstrate in this paper that the private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009248807
Explaining exchange rates has long been an important but vexing issue in international economics and finance. In recent years, a number of studies have shown that investors' private information plays a central role in determining exchange rates. We demonstrate in this paper that the private...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095767
Renminbi internationalisation has brought about an active offshore market where the exchange rate frequently diverges from the onshore market. Using extended GARCH models, we explore the role of fundamentals, global factors and policies related to renminbi internationalisation in driving the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027342
This paper extends the empirical literature on volatility risk premium (VRP) and future returns by analyzing the predictive ability of commodity currency VRP and commodity VRP. The empirical evidence throughout this paper provides support for a positive relationship of commodity currencies VRP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960210
Standard models of international risk sharing with complete asset markets predict a positive association between relative consumption growth and real exchange-rate depreciations across countries. The striking lack of evidence for this link - the consumption/real-exchange-rate anomaly or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148220
interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews some issues and challenges surrounding the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214942
-finance augmented models also achieve forecasting gains out-of-sample relative to autoregressive benchmarks, the performance varies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066491
This paper investigates how monetary policy affects bank profitability. We use data for 109 large international banks headquartered in 14 major advanced economies for the period 1995-2012. Overall, we find a positive relationship between the level of short-term rates and the slope of the yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014487
The experience of a number of central banks in emerging economies indicates that capital flows can pose a dilemma. For example, raising policy rates can attract more capital inflows by raising deposit rates. It has been suggested, however, that raising reserve requirements instead of the policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911909