Showing 1 - 10 of 213
The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218878
There has been mounting evidence that the inflation process has been changing. Inflation is now much lower and much … more effective. There is no doubt in our mind that this explanation goes a long way towards explaining the better inflation …. We argue that prevailing models of inflation are too country-centric, in the sense that they fail to take sufficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224261
inflation. We exploit cross-country variation in a long panel to identify age structure effects in inflation, controlling for … increases. This relationship accounts for the bulk of trend inflation, for instance, about 7 percentage points of US … disinflation since the 1980s. It predicts rising inflation over the coming decades …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919693
shocks on wages and inflation but heighten the impact of technology shocks. Informality also increases the sacrifice ratio of … inflation volatility for some type of shocks but makes monetary policy less effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889120
inflation to the forefront of policy concerns. Those concerns will only grow as aging populations increase demands on government … fiscal deficits directly affect inflation. The paper begins by pointing out similarities and differences between the Weimar … inflation and explains why these fiscal effects are difficult to detect in time series data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067018
facts: (i) the long-run link between money growth and inflation and (ii) the link between credit growth and financial crises …. The analysis reveals that the former has weakened over time, while the latter has become stronger. Moreover, the money-inflation … two monetary facts. The money-inflation link is weaker in regimes characterised by low inflation and highly liberalised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989876
Several countries are concurrently experiencing historically low inflation rates and ageing populations. Is there a …-frequency inflation. In particular, a larger share of dependents (ie young and old) is correlated with higher inflation, while a larger … share of working age cohorts is correlated with lower inflation. The results are robust to different country samples, time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028481
This paper revisits the equilibrium and welfare effects of long-run inflation in the presence of distortionary taxes … and financial constraints. Expected inflation interacts with corporate taxation through the deductibility of i) capital … expenditures at historical value and ii) interest payments on debt. Through the first channel, inflation increases firms' taxable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013832
Iceland was a high inflation country from the second half of the seventies and until the middle of the eighties. During … the middle of the nineties inflation in Iceland, at less than 2% p.a., was among the lowest in the OECD. In this paper we … analyse the roots of high inflation in Iceland and the subsequent disinflation episode. We find that high inflation in Iceland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061048
-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. This paper aims to document how much the release of the forecasts of one major … central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), has influenced private sector expectations of inflation, and whether the degree of … influence depends to any degree on the adoption of an inflation target (IT). Consistent with earlier studies, we find the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982425