Showing 1 - 10 of 190
We propose a regime-switching approach to deal with the lower bound on nominal interest rates in dynamic term structure modelling. In the "lower bound regime", the short term rate is expected to remain constant at levels close to the effective lower bound; in the "normal regime", the short rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861844
We develop a general equilibrium model with intermediaries at the heart of international financial markets. In our model, intermediaries bargain with their customers and extract rents for providing access to foreign claims. The behavior of intermediaries, by tilting state prices, generates an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908612
variables - indicators of real activity, inflation and financial conditions - as well as latent factors, as drivers of term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712009
We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …-linked bonds. Our results show that, in both currency areas, inflation risk premia are relatively small, positive, and increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135613
. Potential output is seen as sustainable; yet experience indicates that output may be on an unsustainable path even if inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064187
Prevailing explanations of the decline in real interest rates since the early 1980s are premised on the notion that real interest rates are driven by variations in desired saving and investment. But based on data stretching back to 1870 for 19 countries, our systematic analysis casts doubt on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941033
This paper revisits the equilibrium and welfare effects of long-run inflation in the presence of distortionary taxes … and financial constraints. Expected inflation interacts with corporate taxation through the deductibility of i) capital … expenditures at historical value and ii) interest payments on debt. Through the first channel, inflation increases firms' taxable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013832
Iceland was a high inflation country from the second half of the seventies and until the middle of the eighties. During … the middle of the nineties inflation in Iceland, at less than 2% p.a., was among the lowest in the OECD. In this paper we … analyse the roots of high inflation in Iceland and the subsequent disinflation episode. We find that high inflation in Iceland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061048
As the world economy slowly recovers from the very deep and widespread recession of recent years, many countries confront very serious fiscal imbalances. How much time they have to deal with these imbalances is a central question, the salience of which can only have been increased by the ongoing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067011
inflation to the forefront of policy concerns. Those concerns will only grow as aging populations increase demands on government … fiscal deficits directly affect inflation. The paper begins by pointing out similarities and differences between the Weimar … inflation and explains why these fiscal effects are difficult to detect in time series data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067018