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area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
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functions in conjunction with the dependence of price on distance, and consider whether spatial interaction theory can provide … this explanation is not unequivocal. On the other hand we show that incorporating spatial interaction theory elements in a …
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We propose to pool alternative systemic risk rankings for financial institutions using the method of principal components. The resulting overall ranking is less affected by estimation uncertainty and model risk. We apply our methodology to disentangle the common signal and the idiosyncratic...
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components for a large data set comprising the U.S., the EU-27 area, and the respective rest of the world. Credit risk conditions …
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In this paper we document that realized variation measures constructed from high-frequency returns reveal a large degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even...
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