Showing 1 - 10 of 11
area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484886
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008771823
We determine the magnitude and nature of systematic default risk using 1971{2009) default data from Moody's. We disentangle systematic risk factors due to business cycle effects, common default dynamics (frailty), and industry-specific dynamics (including contagion). To quantify the contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379607
, and the rest of the world. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
Various economic theories are available to explain the existence of credit and default cycles. There remains empirical ambiguity, however, as to whether or these cycles coincide. Recent papers_new suggest by their empirical research set-up that they do, or at least that defaults and credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333881
We model 1981-2002 annual US default frequencies for a panel of firms in different rating and age classes. The data is decomposed into a systematic and firm-specific risk component, where the systematic component reflects the general economic conditions and default climate. We have to cope with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343953
We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro-economic fundamentals in an intensity-based framework. Using rating transition and default data of U.S. corporates from Standard and Poor’s over the period 1980-2005 we directly estimate the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348707
We introduce a dynamic network model with probabilistic link functions that depend on stochastically time-varying parameters. We adopt the widely used blockmodel framework and allow the highdimensional vector of link probabilities to be a function of a low-dimensional set of dynamic factors. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011562907
We introduce a dynamic network model with probabilistic link functions that depend on stochastically time-varying parameters. We adopt the widely used blockmodel framework and allow the high-dimensional vector of link probabilities to be a function of a low-dimensional set of dynamic factors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566388
This paper has been accepted for publication in the 'Review of Economics and Statistics'.We propose a dynamic factor model for mixed-measurement and mixed-frequency panel data. In this framework time series observations may come from a range of families of parametric distributions, may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383248