Showing 1 - 10 of 91
The transition economies were remarkably successful in curbing the inflation that took place after the initial transition and shocks and, more recently, most of the countries have brought inflation down to the levels found in major developed countries. In this paper we review the experiences and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071804
Emerging economies with inflation targets (IT) face a dilemma between fulfilling the theoretical conditions of strict IT which implies a fully flexible exchange rate, or applying a flexible IT, which entails a de facto managed floating exchange rate with forex interventions to moderate exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124593
Based on a classification of countries and territories according to their regime and anchor currency choice, the study considers the two major currency blocs of the present world. A nested logit regression suggests that long-term structural economic variables determine a given country's currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065251
Hong Kong's currency is pegged to the US dollar in a currency board arrangement. In autumn 2003, the Hong Kong dollar appreciated from close to 7.80 per US dollar to 7.70, as investors feared that the currency board would be abandoned. In the wake of this appreciation, the monetary authorities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070424
We assess the extent and speed of exchange rate pass-through in the countries of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). We do this in the framework of vector autoregressive regressions, utilising impulse functions and variance decompositions with monthly data that starts in 1999 in order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729545
This paper provides a modelling framework for evaluating the exchange rate dynamics of a target zone regime with undisclosed bands. We generalize the literature to allow for asymmetric one-sided regimes. Market participants' beliefs concerning an undisclosed band change as they learn more about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143950
This paper estimates switching autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (SWARCH) time series models for weekly returns of nine Asian forward exchange rates. We find two regimes with different volatility levels, whereby each regime displays considerable persistence. Our analysis provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729229
This paper uses multivariate GARCH techniques to study volatility spillovers between the Chinese non-deliverable forward market and seven of its Asia-Pacific counterparts over the period January 1998 to March 2005. To account for the time-variability of conditional correlation, a dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225310
The paper models monetary policy in China using a hybrid McCallum-Taylor empirical reaction function. The feedback rule allows for reactions to inflation and output gaps, and to developments in a trade-weighted exchange rate gap measure. The investigation finds that monetary policy in China has,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139772
This paper evaluates various financial system reform initiatives and proposals in China in a DSGE modelling setting. The key reform steps analysed include phasing out benchmark interest rates, deepening the direct finance market, reducing government's quantity-based intervention on financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064901