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allows us to evaluate the anchoring of inflation expectations in the Mexican economy. To address this issue, in this paper we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523612
Emerging economies have been subject to abrupt reversals in capital inflows, which have adverse consequences for economic activity and financial stability. An important question for policymakers is how to respond to a sudden loss of external financing and its negative effects on the domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009410474
We explore the dynamics of inflation, inflation expectations, and seigniorage-financed fiscal deficits in Mexico. To do … so, we estimate the model in Sargent, Williams, and Zha (2009) using Mexican CPI inflation data. This model features dual … expected inflation equilibriums and regime switching in the mean and variance of the fiscal deficit probability density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165948
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795082
During the recent inflation episode, the paradigm of separated objectives for monetary and fiscal policies has shown … some limits. Fiscal policies have helped mitigate inflation. We advocate for the emergence of a new paradigm that gives …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502431
Commodity prices are an important driver of fiscal policy and the business cycle in many developing economies. We analyze a dynamic stochastic small-open-economy model of sovereign default, featuring endogenous fiscal policy and stochastic commodity revenues. The model accounts for a positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011630790
We study the differences in currency misalignment estimates obtained from alternative datasets derived from two International Comparison Program (ICP) surveys. A decomposition exercise reveals that the year 2005 misalignment estimates are substantially affected by the ICP price revision....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119692
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121272
Using firm-level data for 18 major global economies, we find that the exchange rate affects corporate investment through a financial channel: exchange rate depreciation dampens corporate investment through firm leverage and FX debt. These findings are consistent with the predictions of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250472
This paper assesses the financial channel of exchange rate fluctuations for emerging countries and the link to the conventional trade channel. We analyze whether the effective exchange rate affects GDP growth, the domestic credit and the global liquidity measure as the credit in foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214255