find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB's SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …

find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …

We propose a new measure of underlying inflation that provides real-time information on asymmetric risks in the outlook … for inflation. The asymmetries are generated by nonlinearities induced by economic activity. The new indicator is based on … additional advantages. First, it is able to swiftly infer abrupt changes in underlying inflation. Second, it helps track turning …

We propose a new measure of underlying inflation that informs, in real time, about asymmetric risks on the outlook of … and has several additional advantages. First, it is able to swiftly infer abrupt changes in underlying inflation. Second …, it helps to timely track turning points in underlying inflation. Third, the proposed indicator also has a satisfactory …