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This paper provides an accurate chronology of the Spanish reference business cycle by adapting the multiple change-point model proposed by Camacho, Gadea and Gómez Loscos (2021). In that approach, each individual pair of specific peaks and troughs from a set of indicators is viewed as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312785
We extend the Markov-switching dynamic factor model to account for some of the specifi cities of the day-to-day monitoring of economic developments from macroeconomic indicators, such as ragged edges and mixed frequencies. We examine the theoretical benefi ts of this extension and corroborate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110914
reveals that small scale factor models out-perform large scale models in factor estimation and forecasting for high levels of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110915