Showing 1 - 10 of 144
Using a model of deterministic structural change, we revisit several topics in inflation dynamics explored previously using stochastic, time - varying parameter models. We document significant reductions in inflation persistence and predictability. We estimate that changes in the volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122034
This paper brings together modern empirical techniques, a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression, with contemporary high frequency data to answer an old question – what role did macroeconomic policy play in Britain’s high unemployment and deflation in the years 1919 to 1938. Its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290339
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471059
We have entered a world of conjoined monetary and macroprudential policies. But can they function smoothly in tandem, and with what effects? Since this policy cocktail has not been seen for decades, the empirical evidence is almost non-existent. We can only fix this shortcoming in a historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984714
In this paper we assess the macroeconomic effects of two of the flagship unconventional monetary policies used by the Bank of England during the later stages of the global economic crisis: additional quantitative easing (QE) and the introduction of the Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS). We argue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017591
This paper estimates the effects of monetary policy on the UK economy based on a new, extensive real-time forecast data … the UK economy. We find that a 1 percentage point increase in the policy rate reduces output by up to 0.6% and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055929
composition of assets of UK banks, and the implications for bank lending to the real economy, using a unique database on the … that suggests that QE directly boosted bank lending to the real economy, even when controlling fully for demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825329
This paper uses a simple money demand and supply framework to estimate the impact of quantitative easing (QE) on asset prices and nominal spending. We use standard money accounting to try to establish the impact of asset purchases on broad money holdings. We show that the initial impact of £200...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111724
The most recent recession has been associated with a financial crisis that led to a large widening of spreads and quantitative restrictions on lending. As well as affecting investment, such a credit contraction is likely to have had a large effect on the working capital positions of UK firms and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126716
The UK economy has experienced significant macroeconomic adjustments following the 2016 referendum on its withdrawal … from the European Union. This paper develops and estimates a small open economy model with tradable and non … the model economy to such news are consistent with key patterns in UK data. While overall economic growth slows, an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863988