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Using a model of deterministic structural change, we revisit several topics in inflation dynamics explored previously using stochastic, time - varying parameter models. We document significant reductions in inflation persistence and predictability. We estimate that changes in the volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122034
This paper brings together modern empirical techniques, a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression, with contemporary high frequency data to answer an old question – what role did macroeconomic policy play in Britain’s high unemployment and deflation in the years 1919 to 1938. Its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290339
This paper estimates the effects of monetary policy on the UK economy based on a new, extensive real-time forecast data … the UK economy. We find that a 1 percentage point increase in the policy rate reduces output by up to 0.6% and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055929
In this paper we assess the macroeconomic effects of two of the flagship unconventional monetary policies used by the Bank of England during the later stages of the global economic crisis: additional quantitative easing (QE) and the introduction of the Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS). We argue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017591
We have entered a world of conjoined monetary and macroprudential policies. But can they function smoothly in tandem, and with what effects? Since this policy cocktail has not been seen for decades, the empirical evidence is almost non-existent. We can only fix this shortcoming in a historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984714
This paper uses a simple money demand and supply framework to estimate the impact of quantitative easing (QE) on asset prices and nominal spending. We use standard money accounting to try to establish the impact of asset purchases on broad money holdings. We show that the initial impact of £200...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111724
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