Showing 1 - 10 of 96
monetary policy tightens, nonbanks increase dollar credit supply to non‑US corporate borrowers, relative to banks. This … to banks) reduces the volatility in capital flows and economic activity associated with the global financial cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355993
This paper models the evolution of monetary policy, the term structure of interest rates and the UK economy across policy regimes. We model the interaction between the macroeconomy and the term structure using a time-varying VAR model augmented with the factors from the yield curve. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718425
This paper proposes a method to interpret factors which are otherwise difficult to assign economic meaning to by utilizing a threshold factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) model. We observe the frequency of the factor loadings being induced to zero when they fall below the estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981585
We have entered a world of conjoined monetary and macroprudential policies. But can they function smoothly in tandem, and with what effects? Since this policy cocktail has not been seen for decades, the empirical evidence is almost non-existent. We can only fix this shortcoming in a historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984714
This paper introduces the Bank of England's new forecasting platform and provides examples of how it can be applied to practical forecasting problems. The platform consists of four components: COMPASS, a structural central organising model; a suite of models, used to fill in the gaps in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081880
Recent empirical evidence based on microdata panels indicates the importance of banks' balance sheets for the monetary … may be an important part of the monetary transmission mechanism, particularly when there are large, direct shocks to banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052548
Long-term real interest rates across the world have fallen by about 450 basis points over the past 30 years. The co-movement in rates across both advanced and emerging economies suggests a common driver: the global neutral real rate may have fallen. In this paper we attempt to identify which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014131065
(ECL) on the cyclicality of loan write-off losses, loan loss provisions (LLPs) and capital ratios of banks, relative to the … probabilities of defaults (PDs) between booms and busts cause sharp increases in LLPs in deep downturns, as seen for US banks during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355977
Systemic risk is a key concern for central banks charged with safeguarding overall financial stability. In this paper … are composed of a number of banks that are connected by interbank linkages. We then vary the key parameters that define … the structure of the financial system - including its level of capitalisation, the degree to which banks are connected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722968
regulator finds it ex-post optimal to bail out some or all failed banks, whereas when the number of bank failures is small …, failed banks can be acquired by the surviving banks. This gives banks incentives to herd and increases the risk that many … banks may fail together. The ex-post optimal regulation may thus be time-inconsistent or sub-optimal from an ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732193