Showing 1 - 10 of 96
This paper introduces the Bank of England's new forecasting platform and provides examples of how it can be applied to practical forecasting problems. The platform consists of four components: COMPASS, a structural central organising model; a suite of models, used to fill in the gaps in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081880
We have entered a world of conjoined monetary and macroprudential policies. But can they function smoothly in tandem, and with what effects? Since this policy cocktail has not been seen for decades, the empirical evidence is almost non-existent. We can only fix this shortcoming in a historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984714
This paper models the evolution of monetary policy, the term structure of interest rates and the UK economy across policy regimes. We model the interaction between the macroeconomy and the term structure using a time-varying VAR model augmented with the factors from the yield curve. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718425
This paper proposes a method to interpret factors which are otherwise difficult to assign economic meaning to by utilizing a threshold factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) model. We observe the frequency of the factor loadings being induced to zero when they fall below the estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981585
Long-term real interest rates across the world have fallen by about 450 basis points over the past 30 years. The co-movement in rates across both advanced and emerging economies suggests a common driver: the global neutral real rate may have fallen. In this paper we attempt to identify which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014131065
Recent empirical evidence based on microdata panels indicates the importance of banks' balance sheets for the monetary … may be an important part of the monetary transmission mechanism, particularly when there are large, direct shocks to banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052548
monetary policy tightens, nonbanks increase dollar credit supply to non‑US corporate borrowers, relative to banks. This … to banks) reduces the volatility in capital flows and economic activity associated with the global financial cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355993
management approach to calibrating individual banks' capital requirements that takes into account these factors and which … aggregate capital for the system and its distribution across banks that are consistent with a chosen objective for systemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119487
This paper studies the relationship between domestic financial regulation and the incentive of non-banks to borrow from … banks abroad using BIS banking data in a gravity framework. Conditional on a large set of macroeconomic controls, we find … that under tighter domestic financial regulation non-banks borrow more abroad. Non-banks in a country on the upper quartile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124374
system as a whole above a critical threshold. We determine the contribution of banks to this systemic risk using a … the order in which banks fail in response to a shock depends on the composition of the banks' asset portfolios and capital … buffers. We show how these factors affect banks' contributions to systemic risk, and the extent to which these contributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098830