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Using matched microdata for the UK, I estimate two distinct channels via which credit supply shocks affect mortgage debt: one that operates through price conditions in credit markets; and another that operates through non-price credit conditions and affects the quantity of credit supplied by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220989
Skill erosion during unemployment was of particular concern as unemployment duration increased in the Great Recession … unemployment pool's skill composition, and hence the output produced by other firms' new hires. As a consequence, job creation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048390
that long-term unemployment is only weakly related to inflation depends on the assumption of linearity in the Phillips … curve. Specifically, once convexity is allowed for during the estimation process, long-term unemployment appears to have a … significant negative influence on wage inflation, whereas in a linear Phillips curve model it is only the short-term unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039936
When workers are exposed to human capital depreciation during periods of unemployment, hiring affects the unemployment … during unemployment into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model with search frictions in the labour market leads to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045106
When the economy is in a liquidity trap and households have a precautionary motive to save against unemployment risk … unemployment risk and decline in demand. As a result, market incompleteness may alleviate contractions in output and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226757
fluctuations of vacancies and unemployment in our model can replicate those observed in the US data, with labour market tightness … for the new hires and the calibration is consistent with the estimated elasticity of unemployment to unemployment benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142668
Over the past four decades, real interest rates have risen then fallen across the industrialised world. Over the same period, nominal investment rates fell, while house prices and household debt ratios rose. I explain these four trends with a fifth — the widespread fall in the relative price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012368
Household debt rose sharply in the United Kingdom in the decade before the financial crisis. This paper uses household level microdata to investigate the relationship between mortgage debt and consumption. We find evidence that more highly indebted groups of households made larger cuts in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014342
Using a long span of expenditure survey data and a new narrative measure of exogenous income tax changes for the United Kingdom, we show that households with mortgage debt exhibit large and persistent consumption responses to changes in their income. Homeowners without a mortgage, in contrast,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055930
In response to an interest rate change, mortgagors in the United Kingdom and United States adjust their spending significantly (especially on durable goods) but outright home-owners do not. While the dollar change in mortgage payments is nearly three times larger in the United Kingdom than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994479