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Does central bank communication really lead to better forecasts of policy decisions? : new evidence based on a Taylor rule model for the ECB

Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Haan, Jakob de - 2009

Nowadays, it is widely believed that greater disclosure and clarity over policy may lead to greater predictability of central bank actions. We examine whether communication by the European Central Bank (ECB) adds information compared to the information provided by a Taylor rule model in which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872830

Does ECB communication help in predicting its interest rate decisions?

Jansen, David-Jan (contributor); Haan, Jakob de (contributor) - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003377200

Does money matter in the ECB strategy? : New evidence based on ECB communication

Berger, Helge (contributor); Haan, Jakob de (contributor); … - 2006

We examine the role of money in the policies of the ECB, using introductory statements of the ECB President at the monthly press conferences during 1999-2004. Over time, the relative amount of words devoted to the monetary analysis has decreased. Our analysis of indicators of the monetary policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003300988

Convergence of monetary transmission in EMU new evidence

Toolsema-Veldman, Linda Adriana; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; … - 2001

This paper examines how the pass-through of monetary policy measures in 6 EMU countries has evolved over time and whether there is convergence in monetary transmission. The countries included are: Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain, and the sample period is 1980-2000. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398432

Credibility and transparency of Central Banks : new results based on Ifo s world economicy survey

Hamella, Sandra; Haan, Jakob de - 2004

This paper reports the results of a survey among private sector economists about credibility and transparency of central banks. In line with the survey of Alan Blinder among central bankers, we asked participants in Ifo s World Economic Survey to answer questions on the importance and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399168

Has the financial crisis eroded citizens’ trust in the European Central Bank? : panel data evidence for the euro area ; 1999-2011

Roth, Felix; Gros, Daniel; Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas - 2012 - Revised Version: March 2012

In the aftermath of the financial crisis trust, in the European Central Bank (ECB) has reached an historical low. Taking panel data and using a fixed effects DFGLS estimation for a 12–country sample over the time period 1999 to 2011 with a total of 312 observations, this paper detects a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009711914

Smells like fiscal policy? : assessing the potential effectiveness of the ECB's OMT program

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Siemsen, Thomas; … - 2014

This paper explores the potential effectiveness of the ECBś Outright Monetary Transaction (OMT) program in safeguarding an appropriate monetary policy transmission. Since the program aims at manipulating bank lending rates by conducting sovereign bond purchases on secondary markets, a stable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010246072

EU-accession effects on sectoral trade : a Helpman-Melitz-Rubinstein approach with panel data

Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada; Vidovic, Martina; Voicu, … - 2014

This paper estimates the effects of the EU enlargements in the 2000s for trade in parts and components and trade in … EU and OECD countries. The estimation approach accounts for firm heterogeneity and selection bias in a panel …-data framework. We find a positive and significant effect of the EU-accession on CEECs trade in intermediate and final goods. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010383871

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis : conference paper

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013

This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974

Statements of ECB officials and their effect on the level and volatility of the Euro-Dollar exchange rate

Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2003

This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We find that the Bundesbank has dominated the news...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830