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We uncover a puzzling link between low-frequency inflation and the population age-structure: the young and old (dependents) are inflationary whereas the working age population is disinflationary. The relationship is not spurious and holds for different specifications and controls in data from 22...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936293
Demographic shifts, such as population ageing, have been suggested as possible explanations for the recent decade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922082
finance public expenditure with an ageing population, if developments are as expected, the problem will not be very large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014211889
facilitates investigation of distortionary effects of fiscal and pension policy responses to ageing. The model is calibrated to … the Finnish economy, which will encounter substantial ageing pressures in the near future. During the transition to an … older population structure ageing costs can be substantially lowered by allowing public funds to smooth out the tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014213022
ageing. When the responses of labour supply, wages, and hence private consumption, to higher taxation are consistently … accounted for, population ageing has clearly much larger effects on public finance, when compared to mechanical sustainability … burden of ageing. This is due to the fact that stochastic variation in the length of working time has only a relatively small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223799
This paper proposes a framework for studying the boom and bust in Finland in the late 1980s and early 1990s. We develop a small open economy DSGE model with balance sheet-constrained firms à la BGG and calibrate it to the Finnish economy. We use the model to simulate three events that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130387
Countercyclical country interest rates have been shown to be both a distinctive characteristic and an important driving force of business cycles in emerging market economies. In order to account for this, most business cycle models of emerging market economies have relied on ad hoc and exogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104021
Motivated by the U.S. events of the 2000s, we address whether a too low for too long interest rate policy may generate a boom-bust cycle. We simulate anticipated and unanticipated monetary policies in state-of-the-art DSGE models and in a model with bond financing via a shadow banking system, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082862
We study whether the mechanism design in the central bank liquidity auctions matters for the interbank money market interest rate levels and volatility. Furthermore, we compare different mechanisms to sell liquidity in terms of revenue, efficiency and auction stage interest rate levels and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075449
We analyse the determinants of the variation of option-adjusted credit spreads (OASs) on a unique database that enlarges the traditional scope of analysis to more disaggregated indexes (combining industry, grade and maturity levels), new variables (volumes of sales and purchases of institutional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153595