Since 1 January 1999 the ECB has conducted a single monetary policy in the euro area, but the mechanisms by which and the extent to which monetary shocks are transmitted into prices and real economic activity may vary from country to country.This paper investigates how and to what extent the...

This paper studies financial market disturbances as sources of investment fluctuations in Finland during 1995–2008. We construct a DSGE model of the Finnish economy that incorporates two domestic financial market shocks and financial frictions in the form of a BGG financial accelerator. We...

This paper studies the existence of risk premia in crude oil futures prices with simple regression and Bayesian VAR models. It also studies the importance of three main risk premia models in explaining and forecasting the risk premia in practice. Whilst the existence of the premia and the...

This paper has two objectives. The first is to identify the long-term public perception of monetary policy. The second is to identify the relationship between this perception and long-term bond rates. For German data, the use of a two-factor model of the term structure results in the best...

This paper tests for the presence of a credit channel (particularly a bank-lending sub-channel) for monetary policy in the housing market.We argue that the importance of this channel for investment in residential housing is highly dependent on the structural features, and particularly the...

We present a two country DGE model and estimate it using Bayesian techniques and euro area and US quarterly data for 1977-2004. In analysing the current accounts we find that a lower US rate of time preference or a higher dollar risk premium could render the deficit sustainable, but that these...

We study the behavior of key macroeconomic variables in the time and frequency domain. For this purpose, we decompose U.S. time series into various frequency components. This allows us to identify a set of stylized facts: GDP growth is largely a high-frequency phenomenon whereby inflation and...

​This paper studies the impact of uncertainty on the investors' reactions to news on macroeconomic statistics. With daily data on realized volatility and trading volume, we show that the investors in the US Treasury bond futures market react significantly stronger to US macroeconomic news in...