Showing 1 - 10 of 11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003322443
In the aftermath of the financial crisis trust, in the European Central Bank (ECB) has reached an historical low. Taking panel data and using a fixed effects DFGLS estimation for a 12–country sample over the time period 1999 to 2011 with a total of 312 observations, this paper detects a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009711914
This paper examines the involvement of the CEECs into regional and global production networks over the period 1999 to 2009. We employ a theoretically justified gravity model which incorporates the extensive margin of trade and accounts for firm heterogeneity. We first estimate the model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009126416
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002166923
This paper investigates the trade effects of Turkey’s trade integration into the EU. To this end sectoral trade flows … to the EU based on panel data from the period 1988 to 2002 are examined concentrating on Turkey's sixteen most important … export sectors. Emphasis is placed on the role of price competition, EU protection, and transport costs in the export trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002846553
We measure the tone (sentiment) of the ECB's Governing Council regarding economic outlook at the time of each monetary policy meeting and use this information together with the Eurosystem/ECB staff macroeconomic projections to directly estimate the Governing Council's loss function. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239727
find that the effect of the 2004 EU enlargement has been positive for both intermediate and final goods trade, and it is in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197601
We test for bias and efficiency of the ECB inflation forecasts using a confidential dataset of ECB macroeconomic quarterly projections. We investigate whether the properties of the forecasts depend on the level of inflation, by distinguishing whether the inflation observed by the ECB at the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508654
We test for state-dependent bias in the European Central Bank's inflation projections. We show that the ECB tends to underpredict when the observed inflation rate at the time of forecasting is higher than an estimated threshold of 1.8%. The bias is most pronounced at intermediate forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014532443
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013410935