Using a DSGE model with nominal wage rigidity, we investigate two scenarios for the Italian economy. The first considers sustained policy commitment to reform. The results indicate the possibility of 'growing out of bad initial conditions', if fiscal consolidation is combined with a program for...

We assess the sustainability of the public finances of Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain (GIIPS), allowing for possible non-linearities in the form of threshold behaviour of the fiscal authorities. We provide some evidence of fiscal sustainability when debt gets "too high" relative to a...

We extend previous work on the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint by allowing for non-linear adjustment of the fiscal variables, conditional on (i) the sign of budgetary disequilibria and (ii) the phase of the economic cycle. Further, our endogenously estimated...

The fall in employment and the increase in unemployment rates in Italy in 2009 were fairly modest, given the sharp drop in GDP and compared with the recession of the early 1990s. This work shows that these data should be interpreted with caution, however. Firstly, employment trends as measured...

The paper analyzes developments in bank lending in Italy during the financial crisis, assessing the relative contribution of demand and supply factors to lending deceleration. We find that the slowdown in lending was mainly due to a reduction in demand. For households, this can be attributed to...

We analyze the impact of the financial crisis on the structure and the dynamics of the Italian inter-bank market, focusing on monthly banks' assets and liabilities data between January 2007 and December 2010. The analysis is developed using an ad hoc data-set based on supervisory reports. The...

After the crisis, from 2008 to 2010 the share of indebted households decreased both owing to a reduction in loan demand and stricter supply conditions. The reduction regarded mortgages and involved low-income households and the self-employed. Recourse to consumer credit remained stable; it...

Il lavoro analizza l'organizzazione dell'attività di prestito delle banche utilizzando i risultati di due indagini riferite al 2006 e al 2009. In questo periodo l'utilizzo di metodologie di rating e scoring è andato diffondendosi anche alle banche più piccole; gli intermediari maggiori hanno...

This paper investigates trends in Italian households' saving and wealth in the last twenty years, with a special emphasis on the period immediately following the financial crisis in 2008. The analysis is based on data from the Italian Survey on Household Income and Wealth (1991-2010. The crisis...

Nell'ultimo decennio, ma soprattutto nella recente crisi economica mondiale, il divario tra l'industria del Mezzogiorno e quella del Centro Nord si è ampliato: gli investimenti e l'occupazione industriale si sono ridotti in misura assai più intensa che al Centro Nord; il contributo delle...