The paper investigates whether there is sufficient empirical support in Italy for the introduction of a sectoral countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) in the macroprudential framework. We study the sectoral decomposition of the credit-to-GDP gap over the period 1990Q1-2017Q2. Overall, our...

The world recession triggered by the financial crisis has impacted with extraordinary violence on economic activity in Italy. What has been the contribution of the various channels through which the crisis was transmitted to the Italian economy? What have been the effects stemming from the...

This paper provides empirical evidence about the announcement effects of the ECB unconventional monetary policies carried out during the period September 2014 - July 2017. The variables considered are selected looking at the various transmission channels through which unconventional measures...

In this paper we examine the empirical features of both the business and financial cycles in Italy. We employ univariate and multivariate trend-cycle decompositions based on unobserved component models. Univariate estimates highlight the different cyclical properties (persistence, duration and...

This paper examines the causes of the exceptionally marked fall in non-construction investment in Italy since 2007. Non-financial private services were the main driver of the decline in the aggregate investment rate, but all sectors weighed in negatively; the reallocation of value added away...

A prolonged period of low inflation, particularly in a situation of monetary policy rates near the zero lower bound, can heighten the risk of inflation expectations de-anchoring from the central bank objective. The purpose of this paper is to assess the effects of a sequence of deflationary...

Italian Abstract: Il lavoro analizza l’impatto macroeconomico della crisi del debito sovrano, mediante un’analisi controfattuale realizzata con il modello econometrico della Banca d’Italia. Rispetto a uno scenario di “assenza di crisi” si valuta che: (i) la perdita di PIL ammonterebbe...