Several authors have shown that there exists a significant relationship between the term structure of interest rates and future changes in the rate of inflation. More recently, this relationship has been strengthened through the introduction of nonlinearities and regime shifts. This paper...

In this paper, we investigate the information content of implied probabilities (Back and Brown, 1993) to improve estimation in unconditional moment conditions models. We propose and evaluate two 3-step euclidian empirical likelihood estimators and their bias-correction versions for weakly...

In discrete time, every time-consistent dynamic monetary risk measure can be written as a composition of one-step risk measures. We exploit this structure to give new dual representation results for time-consistent convex monetary risk measures in terms of one-step penalty functions. We first...