Showing 1 - 10 of 110
We provide evidence that households discretize their inflation expectations so that what matters for durable … households also consume relatively less than the ones expecting positive inflation. In contrast, variations of expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829776
In the last few years in the U.S. and especially since the publication of Stephanie Kelton’s book, The Deficit Myth (Kelton, 2020) in Europe, the so-called Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) has been gaining prominence in the media and the public. This paper exposes the main proposals of MMT in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323731
In this paper, we analyse the effects of transitory fiscal expansions when public debt is used as liquidity by the private sector. Aggregate shocks are introduced into a tractable flexible-price, incomplete-market economy where heterogenous, infinitely-lived agents face occasionally binding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136914
The role of uncertainty in the global economy is now widely recognized by policy-makers but its effects on the international financial system are less understood. In this paper we assess the impact of uncertainty fluctuations on the interconnectedness within the international system of equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927645
constant fundamental value which is not affected by QE under rational expectations. By repeating the same experience three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916990
The recent weakness in business investment among advanced economies has revived interest in investment models and opened a debate on the main drivers of the "investment slump" and what the policy response should be – if any. In particular, it is essential to assess precisely whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014633
We use the term structure of disagreement of professional forecasters to document a novel set of facts: (1) forecasters disagree at all horizons, including the long run; (2) the term structure of disagreement differs markedly across variables: it is downward sloping for real output growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043371
We study abstract macroeconomic systems in which expectations play an important role. Consistent with the recent … literature on recursive learning and expectations, we replace the agents in the economy with econometricians. Unlike the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122565
expectations anchoring based on the cross-sectional distribution of private sector inflation point forecasts. Applying this to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262534
We use the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters to characterize the dynamics of expectations at the micro level. We … forecast performances. We argue that these micro data facts are qualitatively in line with recent models in which expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134964