Showing 1 - 10 of 152
-through estimates have declined in response to a change in inflation environment and find evidence of such decline only for import …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121412
the interaction between partial indexation and trend inflation. We show that using a hybrid version of the Phillips curve … partly decreases the risks of overestimate due to the omission of trend inflation. We also provide new evidence on the fit of …) forgetting trend inflation induces overestimating by approximately 3-4 percent of the probability to not change the price, for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136220
This paper uses disaggregated CPI time series to show that a break in the mean of French inflation occurred in the mid … mean break, both aggregate and sectoral inflation persistence are stable and low, with the unit root lying far in the tail … price changes (at the firm level) appears positively related with inflation persistence (at the aggregate level) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136228
In this paper, we study the fit and the predictive performance of the Phillips curve for euro area inflation with … regard to different inflation series, time periods and predictor variables, notably different global factors. We compare the … prices, global consumer inflation, global economic slack and foreign demand. We find that traditional global indicators such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926349
This paper aims at evaluating the impact of globalization, if any, on inflation and the inflation process. We estimate … commodity import price inflation on CPI inflation depends on the volume of commodity imports while the impact of non …-commodity import price inflation is independent of the volume of non-commodity imports. Second, focusing on the role of intra …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038572
This paper proposes an empirical investigation of the impact of oil price forecast errors on inflation forecast errors … for two different sets of recent forecasts data: the median of SPF inflation forecasts for the U.S. and the Central Bank … inflation forecasts for France. Mainly two salient points emerge from our results. First, there is a significant contribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043378
The paper discusses the issue of estimating short- and long-run exchange rate pass-through to import prices in euro area countries and reviews some problems with the measures recently proposed in the literature. Theoretical considerations suggest a long-run Engle and Granger cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136879
In this paper, we empirically examine the effect of inflation targeting on the exchange rate pass-through to prices in … inflation targeters and twelve inflation nontargeters). Our evidence suggests that inflation targeting in emerging countries … the contribution of exchange rate shocks to price fluctuations in emerging targeters declines after adopting inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136234
Following the 2008 financial crisis, inflation rates in advanced economies have been at odds with the prediction of a …-push inflation through global value chains, using three sectoral world input-output datasets. Depending on countries, the absolute ….05 to 0.35, confirming the importance of global value chains in channelling external shocks to domestic inflation. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231734
Using median-unbiased estimation based on Augmented-Dickey-Fuller (ADF) regressions, recent research has questioned the validity of Rogoff's "remarkable consensus" of 3-5 year half-lives of deviations from PPP. The confidence intervals of these half-life estimates, however, are extremely wide,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014179427