Showing 1 - 10 of 26
This paper documents producer price setting in 6 countries of the euro area: Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Belgium and Portugal. It collects evidence from available studies on each of those countries and also provides new evidence. These studies use monthly producer price data. The following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136868
Using CPI micro data for 11 euro area countries covering about 60% of the euro area consumption basket over the period 2010-2019, we document new findings on consumer price rigidity in the euro area: (i) each month on average 12.3% of prices change (vs 19.3% in the United States); when we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081152
The Generalized Calvo and the Generalized Taylor model of price and wage-setting are, unlike the standard Calvo and Taylor counterparts, exactly consistent with the distribution of durations observed in the data. Using price and wage micro-data from a major euro-area economy (France), we develop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128261
This paper describes a forecasting model of the French consumer price index. Its purpose is to allow for rapid and detailed analysis of recent inflation developments, as well as frequent forecasts. Its characteristics are therefore the following: a small number of equations, a monthly frequency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131807
This paper presents a comparison of alternative indicators of underlying inflation in the French case. Four broad measures are considered and implemented the first two of which are inflation excluding food and energy and the trimmed inflation indicator. We then implement two methods relying on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131902
In this paper, we estimate two small, forward-looking, macroeconomic models for the US and Germany and we compare the implied optimal monetary policy rules. Both models have a standard structure: an I-S curve, a Phillips curve, a short term interest-rate rule and a long term interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134840
Estimating a forward-looking monetary policy rule by the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) has become a popular approach since the influential paper by Clarida, Gali, and Gertler (1998). However, an abundant econometric literature underlines the unappealing small-samples properties of GMM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134880
We use the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters to characterize the dynamics of expectations at the micro level. We find that forecasters (i) have predictable forecast errors; (ii) disagree; (iii) fail to systematically update their forecasts in the wake of new information; (iv) disagree even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134964
Based upon a large fraction of the price records used for computing the French CPI, we document consumer price rigidity in France. We first provide a methodological discussion of issues involved in estimating average price duration with micro-data. The average duration of prices in the sectors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135038
This paper examines heterogeneity in price stickiness using a large, original, set of individual price data collected at the retail level for the computation of the French CPI. To that end, we estimate, at a very high level of disaggregation, competing-risks duration models that distinguish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136343