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aggregate volatility decays is determined by the structure of the network capturing such linkages. Our main results provide a …, but also indirectly to the rest of the economy. Our results highlight that sizable aggregate volatility is obtained from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489113
, aggregate volatility is not necessarily a sufficient statistic for the likelihood of large downturns. Rather, depending on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079041
The propagation of macroeconomic shocks through input-output and geographic networks can be a powerful driver of macroeconomic fluctuations. We first exposit that in the presence of Cobb-Douglas production functions and consumer preferences, there is a specific pattern of economic transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011491706
We document that even though the normal distribution provides a good approximation to GDP fluctuations, it severely underpredicts "macroeconomic tail risks," that is, the frequency of large economic downturns. Using a multi-sector general equilibrium model, we show that the interplay of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030251
We consider infinite horizon economies populated by a continuum of agents who are subject to idiosyncratic shocks. This framework contains models of saving and capital accumulation with incomplete markets in the spirit of works by Bewley, Aiyagari, and Huggett, and models of entry, exit and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009573286
An influential thesis often associated with De Tocqueville views social mobility as a bulwark of democracy: when members of a social group expect to join the ranks of other social groups in the near future, they should have less reason to exclude these other groups from the political process. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011491901
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720690
We study a stochastic gossip model of continuous opinion dynamics in a society consisting of two types of agents: regular agents, who update their beliefs according to information that they receive from their social neighbors; and stubborn agents, who never update their opinions and might...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014190900
Slavery has been a major institution of labor coercion throughout history. Colonial societies used slavery intensively across the Americas, and slavery remained prevalent in most countries after independence from the European powers. We investigate the impact of slavery on long-run development...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009573288
Goldin and Katz's The Race between Education and Technology is a monumental achievement that supplies a unified framework for interpreting how the demand and supply of human capital have shaped the distribution of earnings in the U.S. labor market over the 20th century. This essay reviews the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488819