Showing 1 - 10 of 12
the supply network determine both whether aggregate volatility disappears as the number of sectors increases (i …-output relations) and aggregate volatility, and more importantly, the relationship between higher-order interconnections and aggregate … volatility. These higher-order interconnections capture the cascade effects, whereby low productivity or the failure of a set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136361
misaligned exchange rates, appear to have suffered more macroeconomic volatility and also grown more slowly during the postwar … more 'extractive' instit utions from their colonial past were more likely to experience high volatility a nd economic … policies appear to have only a minor impact on volatility and crises. This suggests that distortionary macroeconomic policies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224669
We document that even though the normal distribution provides a good approximation to GDP fluctuations, it severely underpredicts “macroeconomic tail risks,” that is, the frequency of large economic downturns. Using a multi-sector general equilibrium model, we show that the interplay of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030060
We consider infinite horizon economies populated by a continuum of agents who are subject to idiosyncratic shocks. This framework contains models of saving and capital accumulation with incomplete markets in the spirit of works by Bewley, Aiyagari, and Huggett, and models of entry, exit and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104728
An influential thesis often associated with De Tocqueville views social mobility as a bulwark of democracy: when members of a social group expect to join the ranks of other social groups in the near future, they should have less reason to exclude these other groups from the political process. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994372
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720690
volatility is not necessarily a sufficient statistic for the likelihood of large downturns. Rather, depending on the shape of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078828
This paper studies how firm failures and the resulting disruptions to supply chains can amplify negative shocks. We develop a non-competitive model where customized supplier-customer relations increase productivity, and the relationship-specific surplus generated between firms and their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291552
Slavery has been a major institution of labor coercion throughout history. Colonial societies used slavery intensively across the Americas, and slavery remained prevalent in most countries after independence from the European powers. We investigate the impact of slavery on long-run development...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104727
This paper documents that the Rise of (Western) Europe between 1500 and 1850 is largely accounted for by the growth of European nations with access to the Atlantic, and especially by those nations that engaged in colonialism and long distance oceanic trade. Moreover, Atlantic ports grew much...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246977