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government risk facing investors in medical innovation. This risk slows down medical innovation because investors must be …&D investors to better share the pipeline risk associated with FDA approval with broader capital markets. Using historical FDA … from offering them. Using various unique data sources, we find that FDA approval risk has a low correlation across drug …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959215
model implies that political uncertainty commands a risk premium whose magnitude is larger in weaker economic conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113354
a stochastic growth and discount factors in determining risk-adjusted values. These methods are supported by …-based implications for the term structure of risk prices. As an illustration of the methods, I re-examine some recent preference based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103973
The U.S. economy hit bottom in June 2009. Thirty months later, output growth remains sluggish and unemployment still hovers above 8%. A critical question is why. One view attributes the weak recovery, at least in part, to high levels of uncertainty about economic policy. This view entails two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066584
A decision maker suspects that parameters of a set of structured parametric probability models vary over time in unknown ways that he does not describe probabilistically. He expresses a fear that all of these parametric models are misspeci ed by also wanting to consider alternative unstructured...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955704
We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards, building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters, and uncertainty....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901838
examples featuring consumption externalities, recursive utility, and jump risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906129
. Options whose lives span political events tend to be more expensive. Such options provide valuable protection against the risk … associated with political events, including not only price risk but also variance and tail risks. This protection is more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060933
Building on Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016), I construct a monthly index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (GEPU) from January 1997. The GEPU Index is a GDP-weighted average of national EPU indices for 16 countries that account for two-thirds of global output. Each national EPU index reflects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981172
differ from the well understood risk prices widely used in asset pricing theory. A quantitative example highlights a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123716