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We construct a quantitative model of an economy hit by an epidemic. People differ by age and skill, and choose occupations and whether to commute to work or work from home, to maximize their income and minimize their fear of infection. Occupations differ by wage, infection risk, and the...
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Unlike most countries, Korea did not implement a lockdown in its battle against COVID-19, instead successfully relying on testing and contact tracing. Only one region, Daegu-Gyeongbuk, had a significant number of infections, traced to a religious sect. This allows us to estimate the causal...
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A medium-term relationship exists between share prices, normalised by labour productivity, and the rate of unemployment … in the OECD countries. A similar relationship appears to exist between unemployment and house prices. This helps explain … decadal changes in mean unemployment, such as the shift to higher mean unemployment in the Continental European countries in …
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