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predict exchange rates and to advocate floating exchange rates, economists unwittingly employ nominalist heuristics. Second …, nominalist heuristics have influenced actual exchange rates through the centuries, and this finding is replicated in the … laboratory. Third, nominalist heuristics are incompatible with expected utility theory which excludes the evaluation stage, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867227
This paper's field evidence is: (1) many official sectors rapidly forget the damage of the 1982-85 exchange rate liquidity crisis and reverted to what caused that crisis, namely a closed economy clean floats perspective; and (2) the 2006-2008/9 exchange rate liquidity shock would have been more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003906415
or ratios. Abstractions used in the evaluation stage of decision making typically involve nominalist heuristics that are …. But in the typical complex situation giving rise to nominalist heuristics neither 1) nor 2) hold, and therefore what is … paper. Pope et al 2009b, shows field and laboratory evidence of heuristics in the form of prominent numbers entering …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867222
We show that the saddle-point approximation method to quantify the impact of undiversified idiosyncratic risk in a credit portfolio is inappropriate in the presence of double default effects. Specifically, we prove that there does not exist an equivalent formula to the granularity adjustment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867238
We propose a method to measure the intensity of risk aversion, prudence (downside risk aversion) and temperance (outer risk aversion) in experiments. Higher-order risk compensations are defined within the proper risk apportionment model of Eeckhoudt and Schlesinger [American Economic Review, 96...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124807
Experimentally observed deviations of behavior from game theoretic predictions suggest that fairness does influence decision making. Fairness in the sense of equality has become an essential element of economic models aiming at explaining actual behavior (cf. Fehr and Schmidt, 1999; Bolton and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538681
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We report an experiment on a decision task by SAMUELSON and BAZERMAN (1985). Subjects submit a bid for an item with an unknown value. A winner s curse phenomenon arises when subjects bid too high and make losses. Learning direction theory can account for this. However, other influences on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539130
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001828715