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The golden hello and political transitions

Aidt, Toke; Albornoz, Facundo; Gassebner, Martin - 2012

have taken place. We test this unexplored implication of the theory empirically. We find in a world sample from 1970 to …We analyze the influence of IMF and World Bank programs on political regime transitions. We develop an extended version … transitions ; democracy ; autocracy ; IMF ; World Bank …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009629705

International investment positions and exchange rate dynamics

Binder, Michael; Offermanns, Christian J. - 2014

We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we make use of a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414236

Simple nonparametric estimators for the bid-ask spread in the role model

Safronov, Mikhail; Linton, Oliver; Schneeberger, Stefan - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455993

Politicized trade : what drives withdrawal of trade preferences?

Gassebner, Martin; Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, Arevik - 2017

While it is well understood that industrialized countries use aid to grant political favors, little research covers alternative channels such as trade policy towards developing countries. We analyze eligibility investigations and revoking of U.S. Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) benefits...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756008

Carry funding and safe haven currencies : a threshold regression approach

Hossfeld, Oliver; MacDonald, Ronald - 2014

In this paper, we analyze which currencies can be regarded as safe haven currencies. Our empirical approach allows us to distinguish between a low- and high stress regime, and to control for the impact of carry trade reversals and other fundamental determinants. We therefore address the question...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433356

Globalization and international business cycle dynamics : a conditional GVAR approach

Binder, Michael; Offermanns, Christian J. - 2014

We examine the effects of increased international integration of both goods and financial markets on business cycle dynamics. To do so, we develop a new econometric framework for modelling cross-country spillovers in which the magnitude of these spillovers is an empirically determined function...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414228

International terrorism, political instability and the escalation effect

Campos, Nauro; Gassebner, Martin - 2009

What are the main causes of international terrorism? The lessons from the surge of academic research that followed 9/11 remain elusive. The careful investigation of the relative roles of economic and political conditions did little to change the fact that existing econometric estimates diverge...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908642

Extreme bounds of democracy

Gassebner, Martin; Lamla, Michael; Vreeland, James Raymond - 2009

There are many stories of democracy but little consensus over which variables robustly determine its emergence and survival. We apply extreme bounds analysis to test the robustness of 59 factors proposed in the literature, evaluating over 3 million regressions. The most robust determinants of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908699

Are "new" donors different? : comparing the allocation of bilateral aid between non-DAC and DAC donor countries

Dreher, Axel; Nunnenkamp, Peter; Thiele, Rainer - 2010

Major DAC donors are widely criticized for weak targeting of aid, selfish aid motives and insufficient coordination. The emergence of an increasing number of new donors may further complicate the coordination of international aid efforts. On the other hand, new donors (many of which were aid...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729138

Sectoral aid priorities : are donors really doing their best to achieve the millennium development goals?

Thiele, Rainer (contributor); Nunnenkamp, Peter (contributor) - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003289295