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The Global Economic Barometers : composite indicators for the world economy

Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Campelo, Aloisio; … - 2020

This paper presents a coincident and a leading composite monthly indicator for the world business cycle - the Global … Economic Barometers. Both target the world’s output growth rate cycle. The calculation of these indicators comprises two main …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170717

The golden hello and political transitions

Aidt, Toke; Albornoz, Facundo; Gassebner, Martin - 2012

have taken place. We test this unexplored implication of the theory empirically. We find in a world sample from 1970 to …We analyze the influence of IMF and World Bank programs on political regime transitions. We develop an extended version … transitions ; democracy ; autocracy ; IMF ; World Bank …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009629705

What determines the finance-growth nexus? : An endogenous growth model and empirical evidence

Graff, Michael (contributor); Karmann, Alexander (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

An endogenous growth model on finance and growth is formulated, and empirical analyses are conducted. The model exhibits structural shifts and breaks caused by institutional changes, suggesting that a linear approach is inadequate. To address this point empirically, we fit data for 90 countries...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767757

Long-run links among money, prices, and output : world-wide evidence

Herwartz, Helmut; Reimers, Hans-Eggert - 2001

analyse this topic by means of a P-star model. Based on the quantity theory of money, this approach explains inflation via a …. Moreover, parameter restrictions for the long-run relationships implied by the monetary theory are tested. Country specific P … Preisniveau und dem realen Output testet. Weiterhin werden die Parameterrestriktionen, die sich durch die monet¨are Theorie …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419407

Politicized trade : what drives withdrawal of trade preferences?

Gassebner, Martin; Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, Arevik - 2017

While it is well understood that industrialized countries use aid to grant political favors, little research covers alternative channels such as trade policy towards developing countries. We analyze eligibility investigations and revoking of U.S. Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) benefits...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756008

Carry funding and safe haven currencies : a threshold regression approach

Hossfeld, Oliver; MacDonald, Ronald - 2014

In this paper, we analyze which currencies can be regarded as safe haven currencies. Our empirical approach allows us to distinguish between a low- and high stress regime, and to control for the impact of carry trade reversals and other fundamental determinants. We therefore address the question...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433356

International terrorism, political instability and the escalation effect

Campos, Nauro; Gassebner, Martin - 2009

What are the main causes of international terrorism? The lessons from the surge of academic research that followed 9/11 remain elusive. The careful investigation of the relative roles of economic and political conditions did little to change the fact that existing econometric estimates diverge...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908642

Extreme bounds of democracy

Gassebner, Martin; Lamla, Michael; Vreeland, James Raymond - 2009

There are many stories of democracy but little consensus over which variables robustly determine its emergence and survival. We apply extreme bounds analysis to test the robustness of 59 factors proposed in the literature, evaluating over 3 million regressions. The most robust determinants of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908699

Finanzielle Entwicklung und wirtschaftliches Wachstum : eine Mehrwellen-Pfadanalyse

Graff, Michael (contributor) - 2002 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767793

Hochschulbildung und Wirtschaftswachstum : neue empirische Ergebnisse

Graff, Michael (contributor) - 2002 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767799