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~isPartOf:"Boston College working papers in economics"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse"
~isPartOf:"Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute"
~isPartOf:"Economics and finance working paper series"
~language:"eng"
~person:"Basu, Susanto"
~person:"Daníelsson, Jón"
~person:"Dreher, Axel"
~person:"Gil-Alaña, Luis A."
~person:"Heckman, James J."
~person:"Koopman, Siem Jan"
~person:"Lucas, André"
~person:"Teulings, Coen N."
~person:"Weder, Mark"
~subject:"Börsenkurs"
~subject:"Cointegration"
~subject:"Schätzung"
~subject:"State space model"
~subject:"USA"
~type_genre:"Collection of articles written by one author"
~type_genre:"Non-commercial literature"
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Basu, Susanto
Daníelsson, Jón
Dreher, Axel
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
Heckman, James J.
Koopman, Siem Jan
Lucas, André
Teulings, Coen N.
Weder, Mark
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Boston College working papers in economics
Discussion paper / Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Sonderforschungsbereich 373 Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse
Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute
Economics and finance working paper series
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ECONIS (ZBW)
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51
Macro, industry and frailty effects in defaults : the 2008 credit crisis in perspective
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Schwaab, Bernd
-
2010
We determine the magnitude and nature of systematic default risk using 1971{2009) default data from Moody's. We disentangle systematic risk factors due to business cycle effects, common default dynamics (frailty), and industry-specific dynamics (including contagion). To quantify the contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379607
Saved in:
52
Models with time-varying mean and variance : a robust analysis of US industrial production
Bos, Charles S.
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
Many seasonal macroeconomic time series are subject to changes in their means and variances over a long time horizon. In this paper we propose a general treatment for the modelling of time-varying features in economic time series. We show that time series models with mean and variance functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379641
Saved in:
53
Modeling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series
Hindrayanto, Irma
;
Aston, John A.D.
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
; …
-
2010
The basic structural time series model has been designed for the modelling and forecasting of seasonal economic time series. In this paper we explore a generalisation of the basic structural time series model in which the time-varying trigonometric terms associated with different seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379642
Saved in:
54
Systemic risk diagnostics
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Lucas, André
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
-
2010
, and the rest of the
world
. Controlling for global,region-specific, and industry effects, we construct coincident measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382067
Saved in:
55
Observation driven mixed-measurement dynamic factor models with an application to credit risk
Creal, Drew
;
Schwaab, Bernd
;
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, …
-
2011
This paper has been accepted for publication in the 'Review of Economics and Statistics'.We propose a dynamic factor model for mixed-measurement and mixed-frequency panel data. In this framework time series observations may come from a range of families of parametric distributions, may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383248
Saved in:
56
Numerically accelerated importance sampling for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Lucas, André
;
Scharth, Marcel
-
2012
We introduce a new efficient importance sampler for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models. We propose a general and efficient likelihood evaluation method for this class of models via the combination of numerical and Monte Carlo integration methods. Our methodology explores the idea that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386179
Saved in:
57
Time series models with a common stochastic variance for analysing economic time series
Koopman, Siem Jan
;
Bos, Charles S.
-
2002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001718624
Saved in:
58
Unemployment and input prices : a fractional cointegration approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
;
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
-
2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001606213
Saved in:
59
The great demand depression
Weder, Mark
-
2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001606222
Saved in:
60
Fractional integration and business cycle features
Candelon, Bertrand
;
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
-
2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001612100
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