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This paper presents a coincident and a leading composite monthly indicator for the world business cycle - the Global … Economic Barometers. Both target the world’s output growth rate cycle. The calculation of these indicators comprises two main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170717
have taken place. We test this unexplored implication of the theory empirically. We find in a world sample from 1970 to …We analyze the influence of IMF and World Bank programs on political regime transitions. We develop an extended version … transitions ; democracy ; autocracy ; IMF ; World Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009629705
An endogenous growth model on finance and growth is formulated, and empirical analyses are conducted. The model exhibits structural shifts and breaks caused by institutional changes, suggesting that a linear approach is inadequate. To address this point empirically, we fit data for 90 countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767757
In this paper, we analyze which currencies can be regarded as safe haven currencies. Our empirical approach allows us to distinguish between a low- and high stress regime, and to control for the impact of carry trade reversals and other fundamental determinants. We therefore address the question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767793
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001767799
Major DAC donors are widely criticized for weak targeting of aid, selfish aid motives and insufficient coordination. The emergence of an increasing number of new donors may further complicate the coordination of international aid efforts. On the other hand, new donors (many of which were aid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729138
Using panel data for 143 countries over the period 1973 - 2002, this paper empirically analyzes the influence of US aid on voting patterns in the UN General Assembly. We use disaggregated aid data to account for the fact that various forms of aid may differ in their ability to induce political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003348645
The paper presents a political economy model linking terror and governments' respect for human rights. Using panel data for 111 countries over the period 1973-2002, we then empirically analyze whether and to what extent terror affects human rights - measured by three indices covering a wide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003459778
This paper empirically analyzes the impact of aid on education for about 100 countries over the period 1970 - 2005. We estimate a system of equations to test whether and to what extent the impact of sector-specific aid on educational attainment depends on (i) the extent to which aid adds to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003387352