Published macroeconomic data traditionally exclude most intangible investment from measured GDP. This situation is beginning to change, but our estimates suggest that as much as $800 billion is still excluded from U.S. published data (as of 2003), and that this leads to the exclusion of more...

We derive an option-pricing formula from recursive preference and estimate rare disaster probability. The new options-pricing formula applies to far-out-of-the money put options on the stock market when disaster risk dominates, the size distribution of disasters follows a power law, and the...

Contents -- CESifo Book Series Foreword -- Preface -- 1 Introduction -- 2 A Structure for Understanding Growth -- 3 Knowledge Capital and Growth -- 4 Causation -- 5 Developing Countries -- 6 Developed Countries -- 7 The Economic Value of Educational Reform -- 8 Policies to Improve Knowledge...