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The present study addresses the economic interpretation of stock market volatility. We argue that its character is inherently ambivalent, being considered as an indicator of either information flow or uncertainty.We discriminate between these views by measuring the fraction of price changes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318768
Information flows across international financial markets typically occur within hours, making volatility spillover appear contemporaneous in daily data. Such simultaneous transmission of variances is featured by the stochastic volatility model developed in this paper, in contrast to usually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263740
Using transaction-level data on foreign exchange (FX) forward contracts, we document large demand-driven heterogeneity in banks' dollar hedging costs. For identification, we exploit regulatory end-of-quarter reporting that penalizes banks' currency exposure with capital surcharges. Contracts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917543
This paper presents presents presents a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregression (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) model to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine various relations between stock returns and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531877
plunging stock market in the US, in the aftermath of global financial crisis (2007 - 2009), exerts contagion effects on … terms, and time-varying correlations. The empirical analysis shows a contagion effect for Brazil and Mexico during the early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559137
This paper aims to study the extent of integration among developed and emerging stock markets in the onset of globalization through the formulation of a unified conceptual framework that synthesizes the stock valuation model and the convergence hypothesis. Market integration manifests in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318741
This paper investigates the dynamic linkages in terms of the first and second moments between stock and bond returns, within a wide range of advanced economies, over the different phases of the recent financial crisis. The adopted empirical framework is a bivariate volatility model, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664820
This paper investigates linkages among equity market returns and volatility spillovers in the following countries: Germany, United Kingdom, China, Russia, and Turkey. MARMA, GARCH, GARCH-in-mean, and exponential GARCH (EGARCH) methodologies are applied to daily data on country exchange-traded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988707
The aim of this study is to investigate sources of food prices volatility. The analysis uses daily series for volatility of corn, soybean, wheat, rice, US dollar, crude oil, and SP500 futures spanning the period January 4, 2000 to April 1, 2017. The authors employ the generalized vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873184
and stood at 0.29, which rose to 0.39 in the post-crisis period implying contagion effects. Based on both ADCC results and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001605