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We present a comprehensive disaggregate approach for short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany by explicitly taking into account the supply or production side and the demand side of GDP. The GDP figures calculated by the two sides usually yield different results and the official GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902328
This paper investigates the trade-off between timeliness and quality in nowcasting practices. This trade-off arises …. Our main finding from a historical nowcasting simulation based on euro area GDP is that the predictive power of the survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848385
multi-step nowcasting tool, whereas bridge equations are based on iterated forecasts; 2) MIDAS equations employ empirical … set for nowcasting includes the most recent indicator observations in both approaches. To discuss the differences between … models are compared in an empirical application to nowcasting GDP growth in the Euro area given a large set of business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435205
forecasting macroeconomic key variables such as GDP. However, the DFM has some weaknesses. For nowcasting, the dynamic factor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011567405