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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991217
National accounts data are always revised. Not only recent data, but also figures dating many years back can be revised substantially. This means that there is a danger that an important part of the central bank's information set is flawed for a long period of time. In this paper we present a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991344
Measuring and displaying uncertainty around path-forecasts, i.e. forecasts made in period T about the expected trajectory of a random variable in periods T+1 to T+H is a key ingredient for decision making under uncertainty. The probabilistic assessment about the set of possible trajectories that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991097
Multi-step-ahead forecasts of forecast uncertainty in practice are often based on the horizon-specific sample means of recent squared forecast errors, where the number of available past forecast errors decreases one-to-one with the forecast horizon. In this paper, the efficiency gains from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991108
This paper focuses on the role of absorptive capacity in determining whether or not domestic firms benefit from productivity spillovers from FDI using establishment level data for the UK. We allow for different effects of FDI on establishments located at different quantiles of the productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991322
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991333
The interrelationship between financial constraints and firm activity is a hotly debated issue. The way firms cope with financial constraints is fundamental to the analysis of monetary transmission, of financial stability and of growth and development. The CBI Industrial Trends Survey contains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991336
across years), and use it to compare levels and patterns of relative poverty in the USA, Great Britain and Germany during the … 1990s. The higher aggregate poverty rates in the USA and in Britain relative to Germany were mostly accounted for by higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260639
We compare patterns of movements into and out of poverty by children in Britain and Germany using data from the British … Household Panel Survey and the German Socio-Economic Panel for the period 1992-7. Compared to Germany, in Britain poverty …Wir vergleichen die Muster der Armutsdynamik bei Kindern in Großbritannien und Deutschland anhand der Daten der British …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260755
In the 1990s overtime incidence in Great Britain and West Germany is quite similar, while the average amount of hours … of overtime for full-time male workers with overtime in Great Britain is roughly twice those in Germany for all years. We … time. In Germany, we observe a remarkable decrease in the share of workers who work paid overtime and a significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260756