The concept of resource slack is central to understanding the dynamics between employment, output, and inflation. But what amount of slack is consistent with price stability? To answer this question, economists define baseline values for unemployment and output known as the natural rate of...

There's a common belief among economists that when there’s slack in the economy — that is, when labor and capital are not fully employed — the economy can expand without an increase in inflation. One measure of the intensity with which labor and capital are used in producing output is the...

In "Taking the Measure of Manufacturing" Tim Schiller and Mike Trebing outline several of the most important surveys and indexes that track manufacturing, describe their similarities and differences, and discuss their usefulness in providing timely and accurate data on the sector.

In the final article this quarter, Aubhik Khan wonders: What determines whether a manufacturing plant survives? Is it access to credit markets? Or does learning about plants' profitability over time determine survival? Should government policy play a role in helping plants survive? In...

In recent years, the Philadelphia Fed’s Business Outlook Survey (BOS) has received a great deal of attention from financial journalists and market participants. The monthly survey gathers information from manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve District about current conditions at their...

Over the past 30 years, the three states of the Third Federal Reserve District have lost more than one-third of their manufacturing jobs. And that job loss has accelerated over the past 15 years. Despite this, the region's manufacturing output has expanded over the same period, although much...

China's emergence as a manufacturing juggernaut selling so many goods to so many countries has attracted enormous attention from academics, policymakers, and the media. In this article, Behzad Kianian and Kei-Mu Yi put China's manufacturing performance into a broader context. They emphasize two...