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Thresholds in the process of international financial integration
Kose, M. Ayhan; Prasad, Eswar S.; Taylor, Ashley D. - 2009
The financial crisis has re-ignited the fierce debate about the merits of financial globalization and its implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831857
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How does financial globalization affect risk sharing? : Patterns and channels
Kose, M. Ayhan (contributor); Prasad, Eswar S. (contributor) - 2007
In theory, one of the main benefits of financial globalization is that it should allow for more efficient international … better risk sharing outcomes during the recent period of globalization. Developing countries have, by and large, been shut … flows may help explain why emerging markets have not been able to realize this presumed benefit of financial globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003586563
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Financial globalization and economic policies
Kose, M. Ayhan; Prasad, Eswar S.; Rogoff, Kenneth S.; … - 2009
process of financial globalization. Our central findings indicate that policies promoting financial sector development …, institutional quality and trade openness appear to help developing countries derive the benefits of globalization. Similarly, sound … unavoidable tensions inherent in evaluating the risks and benefits associated with financial globalization. In light of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003816538
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How does globalization affect the synchronization of business cycles?
Kose, M. Ayhan (contributor); Prasad, Eswar S. (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001745312
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One-stop source: a global database of inflation
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2021
This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator changes); (ii) at multiple frequencies (monthly, quarterly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584053
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Inflation during the pandemic: what happened? what is next?
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2021
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR) model. We report three main results. First, the decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584054
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Global stagflation
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2022
Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to peak in mid-2022 and then decline, but to remain elevated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256317
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From low to high inflation : implications for emerging market and developing economies
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2022
Recent energy and food price surges, in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, have exacerbated inflation pressuresthat are unusually high by the standards of the past two decades. High and rising inflation has prompted many emerging market and developing economy (EMDE) central banks and some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013174851
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Global macro-financial cycles and spillovers
Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher M.; … - 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178610
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Global recessions
Kose, M. Ayhan; Sugawara, Naotaka; Terrones, Marco E. - 2020
The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009. During each of these episodes, annual real per capita global GDP contracted, and this contraction was accompanied by weakening of other key indicators of global economic activity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159612