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Cross-border capital flows are expected to lead to increased international risk sharing by facilitating borrowing and lending in global financial markets. This paper examines risk-sharing outcomes of various types of capital flows (foreign direct investment, portfolio equity, debt, remittance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012694652
, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841152
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841432
The world economy has experienced four global recessions over the past seven decades: in 1975, 1982, 1991, and 2009 …, with severe economic and financial disruptions in many countries around the world. The 2009 global recession, set off by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841841
Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt accumulation using a three-pronged approach: an event study of debt accumulation episodes in 100 emerging market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841869
We study the extent of global inflation synchronization using a dynamic factor model in a large set of countries over a half century. Our methodology allows us to account for differences across groups of countries (advanced economies and emerging market and developing economies) and to analyze...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890622
This paper studies how the sensitivity of consumption to income has changed over time as the degree of financial integration has risen. In standard theory, greater financial integration facilitates international borrowing and lending, helping to reduce the sensitivity of consumption growth to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993138
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437121
compositional and cultural diffusion mechanisms. We use the World Value Survey for 1981-2014 to build time-varying measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012648747
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243522