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Testing the Predictive Accuracy of COVID-19 Forecasts

Coroneo, Laura; Iacone, Fabrizio; Paccagnini, Alessia; … - 2021

We test the predictive accuracy of forecasts of the number of COVID-19 fatalities produced by several forecasting teams and collected by the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention during the first and second waves of the epidemic in the United States. We find three main...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013216474

Modeling and forecasting the volatility of petroleum futures prices

Kang, Sang Hoon; Yoon, Seong-min - In: Energy economics 36 (2013), pp. 354-362

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724686

Forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices with structural breaks and long memory models

Arouri, Mohamed; Lahiani, Amine; Lévy, Aldo; Nguyen, … - In: Energy economics 34 (2012) 1, pp. 283-293

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618848

Volatility forecasting and risk management for commodity markets in the presence of asymmetry and long memory

Chkili, Walid; Hammoudeh, Shawkat; Nguyen, Duc Khuong - In: Energy economics 41 (2014), pp. 1-18

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374635

Persistence and cycles in historical oil price data

Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Gupta, Rangan - In: Energy economics 45 (2014), pp. 511-516

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010506552

Forecasting crude oil and refined products volatilities and correlations : new evidence from fractionally integrated multivariate GARCH models

Marchese, Malvina; Kyriakou, Ioannis; Tamvakis, Michael; … - In: Energy economics 88 (2020), pp. 1-13

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012516745

Energy production in Brazil : empirical facts based on persistence, seasonality and breaks

Barros, Carlos Pestana; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Wanke, Peter - In: Energy economics 54 (2016), pp. 88-95

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662770

Oil price volatility forecast with mixture memory GARCH

Klein, Tony; Walther, Thomas - In: Energy economics 58 (2016), pp. 46-58

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011698485

Common long-range dependence in a panel of hourly Nord Pool electricity prices and loads

Ergemen, Yunus Emre; Haldrup, Niels; … - In: Energy economics 60 (2016), pp. 79-96

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011699799

A Markov switching long memory model of crude oil price return volatility

Di Sanzo, Silvestro - In: Energy economics 74 (2018), pp. 351-359

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972860

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