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State-of-play in implementing macroeconomic adjustment programmes in the euro area : short version

Gros, Daniel; Alcidi, Cinzia; Belke, Ansgar; Coutinho, … - 2014

reforms have not yet taken hold. The EU-led macroeconomic adjustment programmes outside the euro area (e.g. Latvia) seem to … finden. Survey-basierte Evidenz legt nahe, dass Strukturreformen bisher kaum gewirkt haben. Die von der EU geführten …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010349252

(When) should a non-euro country join the banking union?

Belke, Ansgar; Dobrza´nska, Anna; Gros, Daniel; Smaga, … - 2016

We analyze the benefits and costs of a non-euro country opting-in to the banking union. The decision to opt-in depends on the comparison between the assessment of the banking union attractiveness and the robustness of a national safety net. The benefits of opting-in are still only potential and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446695

International Effects of Euro Area Forward Guidance

Bock, Maximilian - 2020

This paper explores the domestic and international effects of an increase in observed interest rates (conventional monetary policy) and expected interest rates (forward guidance). We find significant spillovers to a broad range of countries when both are subject to a tightening shock: Output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833360

Who Did It? A European Detective Story Was It Real, Financial, Monetary and/or Institutional : Tracking Growth in the Euro Area with an Atheoretical Tool

Comunale, Mariarosaria - 2020

During the past thirty years, euro area countries have undergone significant changes and experienced diverse shocks. We aim to investigate which variables have consistently supported growth in this tumultuous period. The paper unfolds in three parts. First, we assemble a set of 35 real,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842780

Analyzing Credit Risk Transmission to the Non-Financial Sector in Europe : A Network Approach

Gross, Christian - 2019

We use a factor model and elastic net shrinkage to model a high-dimensional network of European CDS spreads. Our empirical approach allows us to assess the joint transmission of bank and sovereign risk to the non-financial corporate sector. Our findings identify a sectoral clustering in the CDS...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867909

What's in a Second Opinion? Shadowing the ECB and the Bank of England

Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2014

One way of evaluating how well monetary authorities perform is to provide the public with a regular and independent second opinion. The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) are shadowed by professional and academic economists who provide a separate policy rate recommendation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063248

The economic impact of Brexit : evidence from modelling free trade agreements

Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2017

between the UK and the EU27 is large and of a similar order of magnitude as transatlantic trade (between the EU and the US …). The precise nature of the (hopefully free) trade agreement UK-EU-27 is still being negotiated. But all available studies … concur that a significant disruption of trade links will impose economic costs on both sides. However, the EU27 would bear …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662701

Business cycle synchronization in the EMU : core vs. periphery

Belke, Ansgar; Domnick, Clemens; Gros, Daniel - 2016

This paper examines business cycle synchronization in the European Monetary Union with a special focus on the core-periphery pattern in the aftermath of the crisis. Using a quarterly index for business cycle synchronization by Cerqueira (2013), our panel data estimates suggest that it is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570812

QE in the euro area : has the PSPP benefited peripheral bonds?

Belke, Ansgar; Gros, Daniel - 2019

The asset purchase programme of the euro area, active between 2015 and 2018, constitutes an interesting special case of Quantitative Easing (QE) because the ECB’s Public Sector Purchase Programme (PSPP) involved the purchase of peripheral euro area government bonds, which were clearly not...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994801

Benchmarking Macroprudential Policies : An Initial Assessment

Lombardi, Domenico - 2016

In recognition of the severe consequences of the recent international financial crisis, the topic of macroprudential policy has elicited considerable research effort. The present study constructs, for 46 economies around the globe, an index of the capacity to deploy macroprudential policies....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982273