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What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? : a panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António (contributor); … - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641707

Easy money through the back door : the markets vs. the ECB

Bibow, Jörg (contributor) - 2001

This brief assesses the experiences of Europe's policy regime in the two years since the introduction of the euro in 1999, particularly the performance of the European Central Bank (ECB), the institution in charge of conducting monetary policy for the euro area. Conventional accounts of European...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003353731

Bootstrap panel Granger-causality between government budget and external deficits for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006), which is based … budget deficits to current account deficits for several EU countries: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France … deficit ; external imbalance ; real exchange rates ; EU ; OECD …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818006

The importance of global shocks for national policymakers : rising challenges for central banks

Belke, Ansgar; Rees, Andreas - 2009

We analyze the importance of global shocks for the global economy and national policy makers. More specifically, we investigate whether monetary policy has become less effective in the wake of financial globalization. We also examine whether there is increasing uncertainty for central banks due...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879570

How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009

This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577

Does the ECB rely on a Taylor rule? : comparing ex-post with real time data

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2009

We assess the differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the ECB when using ex-post data instead of real time forecasts and vice versa. We argue that previous comparative studies in this field mixed up two separate effects. First, the differences resulting from the use of ex-post and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872913

(How) do the ECB and the Fed react to financial market uncertainty? : the Taylor rule in times of crisis

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2010

We assess differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the Fed and the ECB before and after the start of the subprime crisis. For this purpose, we apply an explicit estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate and of potential output in order to account for variations within these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931051

Is euro area money demand (still) stable? : cointegrated VAR versus single equation techniques

Belke, Ansgar; Czudaj, Robert - 2010

In this paper we present an empirically stable euro area money demand model. Using a sample period until 2009:2 shows that the current financial and economic crisis that started in 2007 does not appear to have any noticeable impact on the stability of the euro area money demand function. We also...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003939738

Financial crisis, global liquidity and monetary exit strategies

Belke, Ansgar - 2010

We develop a roadmap of how the ECB should further reduce the volume of money (money supply) and roll back credit easing in order to prevent inflation. The exits should be step-by-step rather than one-off. Communicating about the exit strategy must be an integral part of the exit strategy. Price...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003958646

Short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields

Afonso, António - 2010

-term yields ; EU ; financial integration ; panel cointegration ; bootstrap …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732265